---
title: "Buckwheat up to 85 hryvnias: experts forecast a rise in grain prices in Ukraine"
description: "Ukraine's Ministry of Agrarian Policy forecasts the price of buckwheat rising to 85 UAH/kg (+15%), but no shortage is expected: production will exceed 80 thousand tonnes. Currently, the grain costs 55–70 UAH in supermarkets."
date: 2026-08-28T12:32:01.000Z
lang: en
url: https://xab.info/en/posts/buckwheat-prices-to-hit-85-hryvnias-ukraine
tags: [buckwheat-prices, ukraine-food-market, grocery-inflation, agriculture-ukraine, consumer-prices]
publisher: "XAB.info"
---

# Buckwheat up to 85 hryvnias: experts forecast a rise in grain prices in Ukraine

![A handful of buckwheat groats held over a bowl: experts forecast buckwheat prices in Ukraine to rise to 85 hryvnias](https://xab.info/media/2026/08/28/grechka-dorozheet-do-85-griven-ukraina/grechka-dorozheet-do-85-griven-ukraina-1.webp)

## 🎯 Key Points

- The Ministry of Agrarian Policy forecasts a 15% rise in the price of buckwheat, to around 85–86 UAH/kg, in the absence of a physical shortage
- The average price of buckwheat in July 2026 was 75.17 UAH/kg (Ministry of Finance / State Statistics Service data), with actual retail prices at 55–70 UAH/kg
- Buckwheat production in the current season is expected at over 80 thousand tonnes
- UKAB expert Maxim Hopska confirms that crossing the 85 UAH mark mathematically fits the +15% scenario from the average price

The Ministry of Agrarian Policy and Food of Ukraine has assured that no physical shortage of buckwheat is expected in the country: production volumes of the new crop are estimated at over 80 thousand tonnes. However, according to the ministry's data, the retail price of the popular grain may rise by approximately 15% in the coming weeks. This was previously stated by the Minister of Agrarian Policy and Food, Taras Vysotsky, who emphasized that the price increase is not linked to a lack of the product on shelves but is driven by seasonal factors and logistics costs.

### Current price dynamics: what the official data says

According to monitoring by the Ministry of Finance based on data from the State Statistics Service, the average price of buckwheat in Ukraine in July 2026 was 75.17 UAH/kg. Notably, compared with June, the figure even fell by 1.96%. The Ministry of Finance's current retail chain monitoring records an average price of around 74.57 UAH/kg, indicating no sharp spike at the time the data was published. Nevertheless, as of 25 August 2026, actual price tags in Ukrainian supermarkets ranged from 55 to 70 hryvnias per kilogram, depending on the retail chain.

### Expert forecast: when the price tag will cross 85 hryvnias

Maxim Hopska, head of the analytics department at UKAB, assessed the likelihood of crossing the 85 UAH/kg mark as quite realistic in the near term. The expert performed a simple calculation: if the maximum scenario from the Ministry of Agrarian Policy (+15%) is applied to the official average price of 75.17 UAH, the final cost will be approximately 86.45 UAH/kg. To exceed the psychological threshold of 85 hryvnias, a rise of just 13.1% from the current level is enough. "Such a price tag is quite possible, but for now we are awaiting the new harvest," Hopska noted, adding that with the arrival of the new harvest, pressure on prices typically eases.

### Contradictory data

There is a notable gap between the official statistical figures and actual retail prices. According to the Ministry of Finance and the State Statistics Service, the average price of buckwheat in July was 75.17 UAH/kg, while the current monitoring records 74.57 UAH/kg. However, as of 25 August 2026, a kilogram of buckwheat in major retail chains cost between 55 and 70 hryvnias. The difference between the average statistical figure and real in-store price tags can be explained by the methodology for calculating the average price (the inclusion of wholesale and regional data), as well as by the fact that the Ministry of Finance's monitoring covers a broader range of retail outlets, including small shops and markets, where prices are traditionally lower than in federal chains. Nevertheless, for the end consumer buying grain in a supermarket, the actual price today is significantly below the forecast 85 hryvnias.

### Why prices are rising despite no shortage

Experts explain the expected price increase by a seasonal factor: between the end of the previous harvest and the arrival of the new one on the market, a so-called "transitional period" forms, during which shelf supply is limited to leftovers from the previous campaign. At the same time, total buckwheat production in the current season is forecast at over 80 thousand tonnes, which rules out a scenario of a real shortage. Thus, according to analysts, the price rise to 85 hryvnias and above is of a temporary nature and should be smoothed out after the new harvest fully reaches the retail market.

### What to expect in autumn

According to RBC-Ukraine materials, the topic of certain products disappearing from supermarket shelves and seasonal price increases remains relevant for the consumer market in autumn 2026. In this context, buckwheat is viewed not as a product with a systemic shortage, but as one whose cost is sensitive to the harvesting campaign cycle. For consumers planning bulk purchases, experts recommend relying on current retail prices in the range of 55–70 UAH/kg, since it is precisely during this period, before the new harvest fully comes in, that the grain's price is most attractive.

## 🔍 Fact-Check Verification

- [Buckwheat at 85 hryvnias: expert assessed when the popular grain could get more expensive](https://www.rbc.ua/ukr/news/grechka-85-griven-ekspert-otsiniv-koli-mozhe-1787918777.html) - Источник содержит прямые цитаты Минагрополитики, данные Минфина/Госстата (75,17 грн/кг в июле), расчёт эксперта УКАБ Максима Гопки и розничные цены 55–70 грн/кг на 25.08.2026. Все цифры внутренне согласованы.

## ❓ FAQ

### Q: Will there be a buckwheat shortage in Ukraine?
**A:** No. According to the Ministry of Agrarian Policy, buckwheat production in the current season is expected at over 80 thousand tonnes, so no physical shortage is forecast.

### Q: How much does buckwheat cost in supermarkets at the end of August 2026?
**A:** As of 25 August 2026, a kilogram of buckwheat in Ukrainian supermarkets cost between 55 and 70 hryvnias, depending on the retail chain. The average price according to the Ministry of Finance is around 74.57 UAH/kg.

### Q: How high can the price of buckwheat rise?
**A:** The Ministry of Agrarian Policy forecasts a rise of approximately 15%, which at an average price of 75.17 UAH/kg gives around 86.45 UAH/kg. UKAB expert Maxim Hopska confirms that a price tag above 85 UAH is quite realistic in the near term.

### Q: Why is buckwheat getting more expensive if there is no shortage?
**A:** The price increase is explained by the seasonal "transitional period" between the end of the previous harvest and the arrival of the new one on the market. After the new harvest fully comes in, pressure on prices typically eases.