--- title: "Controlled gas export: Ukraine discusses a mechanism to sell up to 15% of production while maintaining state regulation" description: "πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Ukraine is considering the possibility of limited gas exports (up to 15% of production) on the condition that domestic needs are fully covered. Experts emphasize that the decision must be made by the government to control resource flows. πŸ’° Export revenue could be directed towards restoring infrastructure damaged by shelling. πŸ“‰ At the same time, private gas production remains 26% lower than 2021 levels." date: 2026-08-15T13:56:03.000Z lang: en url: https://xab.info/en/posts/controlled-gas-export-ukraine-discusses-15-percent-production-limit tags: [ukraine, gas-export, energy-security, war-economy, niche-gas] publisher: "XAB.info" --- # Controlled gas export: Ukraine discusses a mechanism to sell up to 15% of production while maintaining state regulation ![Worker in a helmet operates a red valve on yellow gas equipment against a blue sky](https://xab.info/media/2026/08/15/kontroliruemyy-eksport-gaza-ukraina-15-protsentov-dobychi/kontroliruemyy-eksport-gaza-ukraina-15-protsentov-dobychi-1.webp) ## 🎯 Key Points - Gas exports are possible only if domestic needs are fully met. - An export limit of up to 15% of actual production is being discussed. - Decisions regarding resource flows during wartime remain with the government. - Export revenue could be directed towards infrastructure restoration. Amidst the ongoing military conflict and the need to restore energy infrastructure, Ukraine is discussing the possibility of resuming natural gas exports. However, experts and representatives of relevant agencies emphasize that this is not about full market liberalization, but rather a strictly regulated mechanism. The main principle proposed by analysts is the priority of domestic consumers: exports may only be permitted if the needs of the population and industry within the country are fully met. ### The "15 percent" mechanism: balancing security and the economy Mykola Ryahtsev, a leading researcher at the National Institute for Strategic Studies (NISI), confirmed the technical and economic feasibility of such a step. According to him, if domestic demand is fully covered, it makes sense to direct excess resources to external markets. Specifically, a limit of up to 15% of actual production from the previous month is being discussed. This proposal aims to allow producing companies to generate foreign currency revenue without jeopardizing the country's energy security. The expert noted that in wartime, any decision regarding resource flows remains the prerogative of the government, which must strictly regulate these processes. ### Economic expediency and infrastructure restoration The issue of exports is closely linked to the need to finance the restoration of facilities damaged by shelling. Vladimir Shchelkunov, President of ICC Ukraine, commenting on the initiative, noted that it concerns the sale of resources for which there is currently insufficient domestic demand. The funds obtained could be directed towards repairing damaged infrastructure, which is critical for maintaining the operation of the gas industry as a whole. Analysts note that private gas production in Ukraine is still approximately 26% lower than 2021 levels, making the issue of companies' financial sustainability particularly acute. ### The role of the state in regulating flows Despite economic incentives for business, state control remains a key factor. Mykola Ryahtsev emphasized that during wartime, decisions regarding permissible volumes and directions of supplies must be made exclusively by the government. This is necessary to prevent speculation and ensure that gas goes first to the needs of the army and the population. The mechanism must be transparent and accountable to avoid risks associated with resource leakage into non-controlled zones or bypassing state interests. ### Contradictory data While experts agree on the need for state control, there are nuances in assessing the current state of the market. On one hand, representatives of ICC Ukraine claim there is an excess of resources not in demand within the country. On the other hand, statistics show that total gas production is still significantly below pre-war levels. This creates a certain uncertainty: how realistic it is to allocate 15% of current production without creating a deficit during peak consumption periods. Furthermore, the question remains open as to how exactly the "excess" of resources will be determined in the dynamically changing conditions of war. ## πŸ” Fact-Check Verification - [Up to 15% of production: Cabinet of Ministers prepares to resume export of Ukrainian gas](https://www.obozrevatel.com/ekonomika-glavnaya/do-15-dobyichi-kabmin-gotovitsya-vozobnovit-eksport-ukrainskogo-gaza.htm) - ΠŸΠΎΠ΄Ρ‚Π²Π΅Ρ€ΠΆΠ΄Π°Π΅Ρ‚ ΠΈΠ½Ρ„ΠΎΡ€ΠΌΠ°Ρ†ΠΈΡŽ ΠΎ ΠΏΠΎΠ΄Π³ΠΎΡ‚ΠΎΠ²ΠΊΠ΅ Кабмина ΠΊ возобновлСнию экспорта. - [Controlled gas export could provide funds for repairing facilities after shelling, - expert](https://www.rbc.ua/ukr/news/kontrolovaniy-eksport-gazu-mozhe-dati-koshti-1785580082.html) - ΠŸΠΎΠ΄Ρ‚Π²Π΅Ρ€ΠΆΠ΄Π°Π΅Ρ‚ слова ГСннадия РябцСва ΠΎ ΠΌΠ΅Ρ…Π°Π½ΠΈΠ·ΠΌΠ΅ экспорта. - [Controlled export of excess gas could provide companies with funds for...](https://www.obozrevatel.com/ekonomika-glavnaya/kontroliruemyij-eksport-izbyitochnogo-gaza-mozhet-obespechit-kompaniyam-sredstva-na-vosstanovlenie-posle-atak-icc-ukraine.htm) - ΠŸΠΎΠ΄Ρ‚Π²Π΅Ρ€ΠΆΠ΄Π°Π΅Ρ‚ ΠΈΠ½Ρ„ΠΎΡ€ΠΌΠ°Ρ†ΠΈΡŽ ΠΎ ΠΏΠΎΠ΄Π³ΠΎΡ‚ΠΎΠ²ΠΊΠ΅ Кабмина ΠΊ возобновлСнию экспорта. - [Controlled export of excess gas could provide producing companies with funds for...](https://www.unian.net/economics/energetics/kontroliruemyy-eksport-izbytochnogo-gaza-mozhet-obespechit-dobyvayushchim-kompaniyam-sredstva-na-vosstanovlenie-posle-atak-expro-13454850.html) - ΠŸΠΎΠ΄Ρ‚Π²Π΅Ρ€ΠΆΠ΄Π°Π΅Ρ‚ Π΄Π΅Ρ‚Π°Π»ΠΈ ΠΈΠ½ΠΈΡ†ΠΈΠ°Ρ‚ΠΈΠ²Ρ‹ ICC Ukraine. ## ❓ FAQ ### Q: What percentage of gas production can be exported? **A:** A limit of up to 15% of actual production from the previous month is being discussed. ### Q: Who decides on gas exports? **A:** In wartime conditions, the decision regarding permissible volumes and directions of supplies remains with the government. ### Q: Under what condition is gas export possible? **A:** Exports are possible only if the needs of all Ukrainian consumers are fully met. ### Q: Where will the funds from exports go? **A:** Funds could be directed towards repairing infrastructure facilities damaged by shelling.