---
title: "Diesel for 100 hryvnias: why fuel prices in Ukraine are skyrocketing and what to expect next"
description: "Fuel prices in Ukraine are hitting record highs: diesel is already more expensive than 80 UAH, and experts predict a rapid rise to 100+ UAH per liter. 🛢️📈 Global deficit, logistics problems, and high oil prices are pushing the market up. We analyze why gas stations are operating at a loss and whether strikes on refueling stations affect gasoline prices."
date: 2026-07-23T10:56:00.000Z
lang: en
url: https://xab.info/en/posts/diesel-for-100-hryvnias-why-fuel-prices-in-ukraine-are-skyrocketing
tags: [ukraine, dmitry-leushkin, prime-group, fuel-prices, diesel]
publisher: "XAB.info"
---

# Diesel for 100 hryvnias: why fuel prices in Ukraine are skyrocketing and what to expect next

![Collage illustrating the rise in diesel fuel prices in Ukraine: oil pump, oil barrels, empty fuel tank, and fuel nozzle](https://xab.info/media/2026/07/23/tseny-na-toplivo-v-ukraine-rost-do-100-grn/tseny-na-toplivo-v-ukraine-rost-do-100-grn-1.webp)

The Ukrainian fuel market is experiencing a new wave of turbulence. Car owners and logistics companies are recording a rapid rise in prices at gas stations, which began last Friday. In just a few days, the cost of fuel has increased by 3–6 hryvnias, and the cheapest diesel has already exceeded the psychologically important mark of 80 hryvnias.

The situation at gas stations is causing concern among experts. Dmytro Leushkin, founder and CEO of Prime Group, stated that crossing the barrier of 100 hryvnias per liter is no longer a forecast, but an inevitable fact.

### Why fuel companies are operating at a loss

According to the expert, the current pricing policy in the market no longer covers costs. "Right now, diesel is at the 90 UAH border; it needs to be sold for over 100. But such prices do not exist right now, so all fuel companies are currently working at a loss," Leushkin explained.

Business cannot exist in a loss-making mode for long, so prices will have to be adjusted upwards quite quickly. The expert notes that the limit of 105 hryvnias may not be final, as the market is in a state of constant tension.

### Global deficit and logistical collapse

The rise in prices in Ukraine is merely a consequence of a complex interweaving of factors acting on global and regional levels. According to Leushkin, the situation is exacerbated by a number of problems:

    - **Global market and oil:** The cost of a barrel is approaching $100. The quotes were influenced by the intervention of the Houthis and the blockade of the strait, as well as logistical difficulties for Saudi Arabia and the UAE due to the situation in the Strait of Hormuz.

    - **Deficit in Europe:** There is an acute shortage of resources in the European market. There are no supplies from Turkey, Russia, Kazakhstan, and Belarus. Furthermore, refining capacities in Europe are occupied, as Russia is buying up available volumes. Small supplies from Israel or Azerbaijan are unable to compensate for this gap.

    - **Logistical problems in Ukraine:** Greece refuses to provide tankers for transporting fuel. In addition, the water level in the Danube plays a critical role. Due to low water levels, ships are forced to carry only a thousand tons of cargo instead of the standard 4–5 thousand tons, which sharply reduces the efficiency of supplies.

### Seasonal "jackpot" and the grain issue

The situation is exacerbated by the coincidence of several factors in time. Currently, it is the harvest period and the high season for fuel consumption, which creates peak load. Farmers are facing the inability to sell grain, as ships are not entering Odessa, creating additional economic difficulties and currency fluctuations.

### The myth of the effectiveness of strikes on gas stations

In wartime conditions, the version that the price increase is caused by enemy shelling of gas stations often sounds. However, Dmytro Leushkin refutes this statement. According to him, "Shahed" strikes destroy primarily ground infrastructure — shops and canopies.

Underground tanks, pumping equipment, and pipelines usually remain intact. Instead of a destroyed shop, a mobile autonomous kiosk (MAF) is quickly installed, and work resumes. The expert notes that there are currently no mass attacks on gas stations, as the enemy has seen the ineffectiveness of such strikes for destroying the functionality of the system.