---
title: "Dynamic Weather in Ukraine: Warming Up to +20° to Give Way to Cold Snap and Snow in the Carpathians"
description: "The Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Center forecasts a sharp warming up to +20° in southern Ukraine and heavy precipitation in the Carpathians on November 13, followed by a cooling down to −7° at night and clearings under the influence of an anticyclone starting November 15."
date: 2026-11-12T18:29:00.506Z
lang: en
url: https://xab.info/en/posts/dynamic-weather-ukraine-warming-cold-snap
tags: [ukraine-weather, forecast, ukrhydromet, autumn-weather, carpathians, atmospheric-front]
author: "Alexander Buran"
publisher: "XAB.info"
---

# Dynamic Weather in Ukraine: Warming Up to +20° to Give Way to Cold Snap and Snow in the Carpathians

![Woman sitting on an autumn hill with morning frost on the grass, admiring the sunrise landscape](https://xab.info/media/2026/11/12/dinamichnaya-pogoda-v-ukraine-poteplenie-i-poholodanie/dinamichnaya-pogoda-v-ukraine-poteplenie-i-poholodanie-1.webp)

## Key Points

- On November 13, an active atmospheric front will bring warming up to +15…+20 °C to southern and central Ukraine, and rain with +3…+8 °C to the west
- Heavy precipitation (second danger level), transition to snow, ice glaze, and wind gusts up to 30 m/s are expected in the Carpathians and Transcarpathia
- Starting November 15, under the influence of an anticyclone, precipitation will cease, nighttime temperatures will drop to −7 °C, and daytime temperatures will reach +3…+8 °C
- New atmospheric fronts from the west and southwest may pass starting November 17 and 19

The synoptic situation in Ukraine in the coming days will be "quite dynamic," said Natalia Ptukha, Head of Media Relations at the Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Center, in a blitz interview with RBC-Ukraine. According to her, the key factor will be an active atmospheric front associated with a cyclone over Italy, which will bring air masses with sharply contrasting properties into the country. Ahead of the front from southern directions, very warm air will be advected amid an intense pressure drop, while behind the front, cold air will arrive with a rising pressure. The collision of these masses will cause sharp temperature contrasts, gusty winds, and precipitation of varying intensity.

### November 13: Contrast from +20° in the South to +3° in the West

On Friday, November 13, light to moderate rains are expected in most regions, significant precipitation in the Precarpathians, and heavy precipitation in the Carpathians and Transcarpathia, which already corresponds to the second level of danger. During the day, rain in mountainous areas may turn into snow, with possible ice glaze, wet snow accretion, and icy roads. In the high-altitude areas of the Carpathians, wind gusts will reach 25–30 m/s with blizzards. Meanwhile, in flat areas, forecasters estimate that snow will only "flurry through" without sticking, as daytime temperatures will remain steadily above zero. The temperature background will be extremely uneven: in the south (Odesa, Mykolaiv, Kherson, Zaporizhzhia regions) and central regions (Kirovohrad, Dnipropetrovsk, Poltava, Cherkasy regions), the air will warm up to +15…+20 °C, whereas in the west of the country, due to the passing front and precipitation, temperatures will be limited to +3…+8 °C.

### The Weekend: From Rain on Saturday to Clearings on Sunday

On Saturday, November 14, rains will continue in most oblasts, but during the day a trend toward their gradual cessation will begin. Starting Sunday, November 15, a high-pressure atmospheric field will begin to influence Ukraine's territory, ensuring dry weather, clearings, and even sunny conditions with calm winds. Nighttime temperatures will drop to 0…−7 °C, while daytime temperatures will range from +3…+8 °C. Forecasters emphasize that over the next two to three days, "fairly significant temperature amplitudes" will be observed, so dressing for sharp fluctuations is recommended.

### Monday and Beyond: A Brief Lull Before New Fronts

On Monday, November 16, the anticyclone's influence will persist: mostly dry, with light rain possible only in the western oblasts. Nighttime temperatures across the country will be 0…−5 °C, down to −8 °C in the Carpathians; it will be somewhat warmer in Transcarpathia, the Precarpathians, and the southern part of Odesa region — +1…+6 °C at night and +8…+13 °C during the day. No drastic changes are observed for the time being, but fluctuations typical of this period will remain. Starting Tuesday, November 17, another atmospheric front may arrive from the west, followed by a break on Wednesday, November 18, and a new front arriving from the southwest on Thursday, November 19. According to Ptukha, temperature figures will decrease, though specific numbers for the second half of the week were not provided in the interview.

### What This Means for Residents

The combination of factors — an active front, a sharp change in air masses, strong winds in the mountains, and possible icy conditions — makes the coming day one of the most "unpredictable" of November. Residents of the western and mountainous regions should take into account the second danger level and prepare for deteriorating road conditions. In the south and center, conversely, residents can count on comfortable daytime temperatures close to summer levels. Overall, as the UkrHMC representative summarized, the weekend can be spent quite comfortably if you dress correctly, taking into account the significant difference between day and night values.

## Fact-Check & Sources

- [В Украине потеплеет, но только на день: к какой погоде готовиться и где ждать снег](https://www.rbc.ua/ukr/news/ukrayini-poteplie-ale-lishe-den-koyi-pogodi-1794502605.html) - Primary source: Blitz interview with Natalia Ptukha (UkrHMC) for RBC-Ukraine. All temperature values, danger levels, front dates, and wind figures are taken directly from the interview text.

## FAQ

### What temperature is expected in Ukraine on November 13?

In the south (Odesa, Mykolaiv, Kherson, Zaporizhzhia regions) and central regions (Kirovohrad, Dnipropetrovsk, Poltava, Cherkasy regions), daytime air will warm up to +15…+20 °C. In the west of the country, due to the passing atmospheric front and precipitation, temperatures will be lower at +3…+8 °C.

### Where is snow and icy conditions possible?

Snow, ice glaze, and wet snow accretion are expected in the Carpathians and Transcarpathia, where a second level of danger has been declared. In flat areas, snow will only flurry through without sticking, as daytime temperatures will remain positive.

### When will the rains stop?

On Saturday, November 14, rains will continue, but during the day a trend toward their cessation will begin. On Sunday, November 15, precipitation will completely stop: a high-pressure area will begin to influence Ukraine's territory, bringing clearings and calm winds.

### What nighttime temperatures are expected mid-week?

At night on November 15, temperatures across Ukraine will be 0…−7 °C, and on November 16, 0…−5 °C (down to −8 °C in the Carpathians). In Transcarpathia, the Precarpathians, and the southern part of Odesa region, nighttime temperatures on the 16th will remain at +1…+6 °C.