--- title: "HUR: Under Russia's plans, its defense industry must produce at least 100 ballistic missiles by September 2026 — Ukraine builds a four-step response" description: "HUR representative Vadym Skybitskyi stated that, according to Russia's plans, the Russian defense industry must produce at least 100 ballistic missiles by September 2026. Ukraine is building a response with its partners and is requesting the supply of missiles for Patriot systems." date: 2026-09-12T17:20:00.000Z lang: en url: https://xab.info/en/posts/hur-russia-100-ballistic-missiles-ukraine-response tags: [ukraine, gur, ballistic-missiles, patriot, russia, air-defense] publisher: "XAB.info" --- # HUR: Under Russia's plans, its defense industry must produce at least 100 ballistic missiles by September 2026 — Ukraine builds a four-step response ![GUR representative at a briefing at Ukraine Media Center on Russia's plans to produce ballistic missiles by 2026](https://xab.info/media/2026/09/12/gur-rossiya-100-ballisticheskikh-raket-otvet-ukrainy/gur-rossiya-100-ballisticheskikh-raket-otvet-ukrainy-1.webp) ## 🎯 Key Points - According to Russia's plans, by September 2026 the Russian defense industry is to produce no fewer than 100 ballistic missiles, including the "Iskander" and S-400 in ballistic mode. - HUR states that Russia is developing ballistic missiles for the western regions of Ukraine; the first launches are possible by the end of 2026. - Ukraine is asking its partners to provide missiles for Patriot; the EU agreed to purchase a batch from the 90 billion euro loan. - Zelenskyy: Ukraine needs at least 100–120 Patriot missiles per month. - There is a discrepancy in the figures across sources: 100 ballistic missiles (Russia's plan) versus up to 200 cruise and ballistic missiles per month (HUR estimate). Ukraine is aware of the scale of the threat posed by Russian ballistic missiles and is deliberately working with international partners to prevent Russia from gaining a technological and operational advantage. This was stated by Vadym Skybitskyi, a representative of the Main Directorate of Intelligence (HUR) of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, at the YES Annual Meeting 2026 conference, organized by the Viktor Pinchuk Foundation, according to RBC-Ukraine. According to him, Kyiv is building a systematic response to the missile challenge, relying on its allies and its own efforts to develop air defense. ### Scale of production in Russia Skybitskyi cited specific figures: according to the plans of the Russian Federation, by September 2026 the Russian defense industry is to produce no fewer than 100 ballistic missiles. This estimate includes, in particular, the "Iskander" systems, as well as S-400 missiles, which, according to HUR data, are being used as ballistic missiles. These indicators, according to the intelligence representative, demonstrate a steady growth in the production capacity of Russia's military-industrial complex in the missile segment. ### Ukraine's four-step response According to Skybitskyi, Ukraine's response to this challenge consists of four steps. Within the framework of the outlined strategy, a key element is close cooperation with partners on air defense systems and the provision of interceptor missiles for Patriot air defense systems, which, as HUR emphasizes, remain the only systems capable of intercepting ballistic missiles. It is in this area that Ukraine is concentrating its requests to its allies. ### Threat to western regions As stated by HUR, the Russian defense industry is currently working on ballistic missiles that will be able to reach the western regions of Ukraine; the first launches of such systems are possible by the end of 2026. Against this backdrop, Kyiv and other settlements within the range of ballistic missiles are subjected to Russian terror: in summer and autumn the enemy is actively attacking with ballistic missiles, destroying warehouses, enterprises and other critical infrastructure. ### Request for Patriot and the EU's position Against this backdrop, Ukraine is asking its partners to help with the supply of missiles for Patriot systems. Recently, the European Union agreed to purchase a batch of Patriot interceptor missiles from the 90 billion euro loan. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy previously noted that Ukraine needs at least 100–120 Patriot missiles per month to effectively intercept Russian ballistic missiles. ### Contradictory data Open statements and fact-checking materials record a discrepancy in figures and wording. In Skybitskyi's speech, as reported by RBC-Ukraine, the figure of "no fewer than 100 ballistic missiles" is mentioned according to Russia's plans for September 2026. Meanwhile, in another material citing HUR data (UNIAN), an estimate is given that Russia may be producing up to 200 cruise and ballistic missiles per month. The difference is explained by the different scope: in the first case only ballistic missiles and planned indicators are taken into account, while in the second — the total of cruise and ballistic missiles at potential (non-planned) rates. Both versions reflect the same source — HUR — but with different calculation parameters, which requires caution when citing. ## 🔍 Fact-Check Verification - [HUR names four steps to protect Ukraine from Russian ballistic missiles](https://www.rbc.ua/ukr/news/gur-nazvali-chotiri-kroki-zahistu-ukrayini-1789211510.html) - Выступление В. Скибицкого на YES Annual Meeting 2026: план РФ — не менее 100 баллистических ракет в сентябре 2026 (вкл. «Искандер», С-400); четырехступенчатый ответ; запрос на Patriot; ЕС закупает партию из кредита 90 млрд евро; Зеленский — 100–120 ракет/мес. - [Russia may be producing 200 cruise and ballistic missiles per month: HUR reveals details](https://www.unian.net/war/gur-rossiya-mozhet-proizvodit-bolee-200-krylatyh-i-ballisticheskih-raket-v-mesyac-13475484.html) - Оценка ГУР о потенциальных темпах до 200 крылатых и баллистических ракет в месяц; используется для блока «Противоречивые данные» (различие охвата и формулировки с версией 100 баллистических). ## ❓ FAQ ### Q: How many ballistic missiles is Russia expected to produce in September 2026, according to HUR? **A:** According to HUR representative Vadym Skybitskyi, under Russia's plans the Russian defense industry is to produce no fewer than 100 ballistic missiles in September 2026, including the "Iskander" systems and S-400 missiles used as ballistic missiles. ### Q: Which missiles, according to HUR, can reach the western regions of Ukraine? **A:** HUR states that the Russian defense industry is working on ballistic missiles capable of reaching the western regions of Ukraine; the first launches of such systems are possible by the end of 2026. ### Q: How many Patriot missiles does Ukraine need per month, according to Zelenskyy? **A:** President Volodymyr Zelenskyy noted that Ukraine needs at least 100–120 missiles for Patriot systems per month to intercept Russian ballistic missiles. ### Q: Is there a discrepancy in the figures between sources? **A:** Yes. In the RBC-Ukraine version the figure is no fewer than 100 ballistic missiles according to Russia's plans for September, whereas in the UNIAN material citing HUR an estimate of up to 200 cruise and ballistic missiles per month is given. The difference is related to the different scope (ballistic only vs cruise + ballistic) and the wording (plan vs potential rates).