---
title: "Naftogaz Prepares 24 Scenarios for the Challenging 2026/2027 Winter"
description: "Naftogaz has prepared 24 scenarios for the 2026/2027 heating season, taking into account attacks, weather, and gas production volumes."
date: 2026-10-22T12:33:35.381Z
lang: en
url: https://xab.info/en/posts/naftogaz-prepares-24-winter-scenarios
tags: [naftogaz, ukraine, winter-2026, energy-security, gas-production]
author: "Andrey Kosynko"
publisher: "XAB.info"
---

# Naftogaz Prepares 24 Scenarios for the Challenging 2026/2027 Winter

![Naftogaz Board Chairman Sergiy Fedorenko speaks at a working meeting around a conference table in the company office](https://xab.info/media/2026/10/22/naftogaz-podgotovil-24-stsenariya-zimy/naftogaz-podgotovil-24-stsenariya-zimy-1.webp)

## Key Points

- 24 scenarios developed for the 2026/2027 autumn-winter period
- Considers attack intensity, weather conditions, and domestic production volumes
- Over 400 attacks recorded against Naftogaz facilities since early 2026
- Company actively attracts grant assistance from international partners

Ukraine's state-owned company Naftogaz of Ukraine has developed 24 detailed scenarios for navigating the 2026/2027 autumn-winter period. The planning takes into account various factors, including the intensity of potential Russian attacks, temperature conditions during the cold months, and projected volumes of domestic gas production. For each developed option, company specialists have formulated a clear action algorithm and technical solutions.

### International Cooperation and Financial Instruments

Sergiy Fedorenko, Chairman of the Board of Naftogaz of Ukraine, noted that the company is actively working with foreign partners in several key areas. These include the restoration of damaged energy infrastructure, strengthening the physical protection of generation and distribution facilities, and supplying critical equipment and specialized machinery.

Special attention is paid to financial instruments that allow for the advance contracting of additional natural gas volumes. Fedorenko cited cooperation with Norway as a successful example of such partnership, noting that the country previously provided significant grant assistance for purchasing energy resources through European Bank for Reconstruction and Development mechanisms.

### Attack Statistics and Import Scales

Since the beginning of 2026, Russian forces have carried out over 400 targeted attacks on the production and infrastructure facilities of the Naftogaz group, which is twice the figure for the entire previous year. The main blow traditionally targets the company's gas production facilities. Due to a substantial reduction in domestic production, Ukraine was forced to significantly increase import supplies, which reached a five-year high of 6.47 billion cubic meters last year.

In addition to the gas sector, Ukrainian authorities are paying close attention to other elements of critical infrastructure. Specifically, the government is preparing backup power systems and pumping stations for stable water supply to the capital in case of new unfavorable scenarios, although authorities openly warn about the risks of partial comfort reduction.

### Significance of Strategic Planning for Energy Security

The development of dozens of heating season scenarios reflects the unprecedented level of uncertainty facing Ukraine's energy sector. Having pre-calculated algorithms allows for a prompt response to any emergencies, whether a sharp cold snap or the consequences of shelling. The successful implementation of these plans directly depends on rhythmic financial and technical support from international donors, as the restoration and protection of the energy system require colossal resources.

## Fact-Check & Sources

- ["Нафтогаз" подготовил 24 сценария прохождения зимы](https://www.rbc.ua/ukr/news/naftogaz-pidgotuvav-24-stsenariyi-prohodzhennya-1792672062.html) - The primary source confirms the preparation of 24 scenarios by Naftogaz and details of cooperation with Norway.
- [«Нафтогаз» подготовил 24 сценария работы на зиму с учетом атак со стороны России](https://ua.news/ru/energetika/naftogaz-pidgotuvav-24-stsenariyi-roboti-vzimku-z-urakhuvanniam-atak-rosiyi) - The source confirms Fedorenko's statement regarding key areas of work with international partners.
- [«Нафтогаз» подготовил 24 сценария прохождения зимы](https://forbes.ua/ru/news/naftogaz-pidgotuvav-24-scenariyi-proxodzennia-zimi-22102026-43186) - The source confirms attack statistics on Naftogaz in 2026 and gas import volumes.

## FAQ

### How many winter scenarios did Naftogaz prepare?

The company prepared 24 scenarios for navigating the 2026/2027 autumn-winter period.

### What factors were considered when developing the scenarios?

The scenarios account for the intensity of Russian attacks, temperature conditions, and projected domestic gas production volumes.

### How many attacks on Naftogaz facilities occurred in 2026?

Since the beginning of 2026, Russian forces have carried out over 400 attacks on Naftogaz group facilities.