--- title: "No Frost and Twenties in the East: UkrHMC Reveals Details of Ukraine's Weather Until the End of the Week" description: "UkrHMC has published a forecast for October 17–26: no frost, with rain in the south and twenties in the east. High-altitude Carpathians may see intermittent wet snow, and pressure will begin to rise from Tuesday." date: 2026-10-16T15:37:53.187Z lang: en url: https://xab.info/en/posts/ukraine-weather-forecast-october-2026-no-frost tags: [ukraine-weather, forecast, autumn, rain, carpathians, hydrometeorological-center] author: "Alexander Buran" publisher: "XAB.info" --- # No Frost and Twenties in the East: UkrHMC Reveals Details of Ukraine's Weather Until the End of the Week ![Woman with a black umbrella walking in a park on a rainy autumn day](https://xab.info/media/2026/10/16/ukraina-pogoda-prognoz-oktyabr-2026-bez-zamorozkov/ukraina-pogoda-prognoz-oktyabr-2026-bez-zamorozkov-1.webp) ## Key Points - Until October 19, a low-pressure field dominates Ukraine, causing unstable weather with rain - No frost is expected: night temperatures +5…+12 °C, daytime +10…+21 °C depending on the region - High-altitude Carpathians may experience intermittent wet snow with daytime highs of +1…+6 °C - From October 20, pressure will rise, precipitation will cease, and weather will stabilize by October 22–23 The Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Center has presented a detailed weather forecast for the next ten days — from October 17 to October 26, 2026. Natalia Ptukha, Head of Media Relations at UkrHMC, explained in a blitz interview with RBC-Ukraine that a low-pressure field, enhanced by southern cyclonic activity and atmospheric fronts, is dominating the country's territory. This exact combination of factors determines the unstable nature of the weather: precipitation will alternate with clearings, and the temperature background will be "patchy" both by day and across regions. At the same time, forecasters emphasize that overall temperatures will be above the climatic norm for the third decade of October. ### Friday and Saturday: Rain in the South, Fog, and Mild Nights On Friday, October 17, the amount of precipitation will decrease compared to the previous day. Most regions will experience scattered light rains, while the southern and southeastern areas may see moderate precipitation during the day. Night and morning fog will persist in the southern part of Ukraine. Nighttime temperatures will range from +5 to +12 °C, daytime temperatures from +10 to +18 °C, and eastern regions will see air warming up to +21 °C. According to Ptukha, there is "no talk" of frost, as cloud cover and precipitation prevent temperatures from dropping below freezing. ### Weekend and Monday: Moderate Rains and Gusty Winds On Sunday, October 18, and Monday, October 19, precipitation will return: moderate and occasionally heavy rains will sweep through the southern and central regions. The exception is the western regions, where the weather will remain mostly dry with no significant precipitation. Apart from the west and east, wind gusts of 15–20 m/s are expected in some areas on these days. Nevertheless, the temperature background will remain comfortable for this time of year: nights will be cooler, around 0 °C, with daytime highs of +1…+6 °C in most regions, while the east will still enjoy temperatures in the low twenties. ### The Carpathians: Intermittent Wet Snow Without Stable Snow Cover The situation in the high-altitude Carpathian regions differs from the plains. Nighttime temperatures will drop to around 0 °C, while daytime highs will reach +1…+6 °C, creating conditions for precipitation to periodically turn into wet snow. Ptukha specified that snow will fall "here and there" and "intermittently, not constantly," and over the next few days, mountain stations have even recorded a slight temperature increase of a couple of degrees. No stable snow cover is expected during these days. ### Starting Tuesday: A Trend Toward Clearing and Rising Pressure Starting Tuesday, October 20, atmospheric pressure will begin to build across Ukraine. Moderate rains are still possible at night, but by daytime they will become light with a clear tendency to stop. On Wednesday, October 21, nighttime temperatures will drop slightly due to decreasing cloud cover, and no significant precipitation is foreseen. On Thursday and Friday, October 22–23, pressure will rise more noticeably: precipitation is possible only in the west of the country in the form of light rains, and nights will become slightly fresher — within +4…+11 °C. Thus, by the end of the week, the weather will stabilize, and an "Indian summer" with warm daytime figures may persist in certain regions until the beginning of the third decade of October. ### Context: Why October 2026 is Abnormally Warm Forecasters note that the current temperature anomaly is explained by southern cyclonic activity, which brings warmer air masses than is typical for the third decade of October. Earlier, UkrHMC explained that October in Ukraine can include several episodes of "Indian summer" and warned about water shortages in a number of rivers where a level three hazard has been declared. Daytime readings of +18…+21 °C in flat regions exceed long-term averages for these dates by 5–8 degrees, making the current week one of the warmest for late October in the past few seasons. ## Fact-Check & Sources - [Никаких заморозков, а снег только в Карпатах: что ждать от погоды в Украине в ближайшие дни](https://www.rbc.ua/ukr/news/niyakih-zamorozkiv-snig-lishe-karpatah-shcho-1792163200.html) - Blitz interview with Natalia Ptukha, Head of Media Relations at UkrHMC. All temperature figures, dates, and precipitation characteristics are taken directly from the interview text. ## FAQ ### Will there be frost in Ukraine this week? No. According to UkrHMC, due to cloud cover and precipitation, nighttime temperatures will not drop below +5 °C on the plains. Frost is possible only in the high Carpathians, where nighttime lows are around 0 °C. ### When will the rains stop? Starting Tuesday, October 20, atmospheric pressure will begin to rise. Moderate rains are still possible on the night of the 20th, but during the day they will become light with a tendency to cease. By October 22–23, precipitation is expected only in the west of the country. ### Will there be snow in the Carpathians? Yes, precipitation in the high-altitude Carpathians may periodically turn into wet snow, especially over the next few days. However, snow will not fall constantly, but rather in patches, and no stable snow cover is expected. ### What will the daytime temperature be in the eastern regions? In the eastern regions of Ukraine, daytime air temperatures may reach up to +21 °C, which is significantly above the climatic norm for the third decade of October.