---
title: "They are not hiding from Earth: scientists explain why aliens are not making contact"
description: "A new study offers an explanation for the Fermi paradox: alien civilizations may not disappear forever, but rather experience cycles of collapse and technological hibernation."
date: 2026-09-26T05:14:00.000Z
lang: en
url: https://xab.info/en/posts/why-aliens-are-not-making-contact-fermi-paradox
tags: [fermi-paradox, astronomy, aliens, space, science]
publisher: "XAB.info"
---

# They are not hiding from Earth: scientists explain why aliens are not making contact

![Scientists explain the Fermi paradox and the lack of alien contact](https://xab.info/media/2026/09/26/pochemu-inoplanetyane-ne-vykhodyat-na-svyaz-paradoks-fermi/pochemu-inoplanetyane-ne-vykhodyat-na-svyaz-paradoks-fermi-1.webp)

## 🎯 Key Points

- Extraterrestrial civilizations may be in a state of technological hibernation
- 7 out of 10 simulated civilization scenarios inevitably lead to collapse
- The main survival factors are resource consumption rates and recovery capacity
- The study currently holds preprint status and requires independent peer review

Modern science continues to search for answers to one of the most intriguing questions in human history: why have we still found no traces of extraterrestrial civilizations? A new study published on the arXiv preprint server by a research team led by Celia Blanco offers an original explanation for the Fermi paradox, suggesting that alien societies may cyclically experience collapses and periods of technological hibernation instead of disappearing forever.

### The Fermi Paradox and the Short-Lived Civilization Hypothesis

The Fermi paradox clearly demonstrates the obvious contradiction between the colossal mathematical probability of intelligent life existing in the universe and the complete absence of any confirmed contacts with it. For a long time, the pessimistic hypothesis dominated that technological civilizations are inevitably doomed to rapid self-destruction due to global ecological crises, depletion of planetary resources, or devastating military conflicts. However, the authors of the new scientific work prove that permanent destruction is not the only evolutionary finale for developed intelligence.

### Modeling the Future: From the Golden Age to Ouroboros

To test their assumptions, scientists developed a mathematical model of the possible long-term development of humanity and similar civilizations, simulating ten different scenarios over the next 1,000 years. This list included both utopian options like a stable Golden Age and the 'Out of Eden' society, as well as rigid resource scarcity models. Of particular interest to the researchers was the 'Ouroboros' model, which describes a hierarchical community that cyclically expands, experiences declines, and recovers again, gradually achieving self-stabilization. A total of 200 simulations were run for each individual scenario.

### Contradictory Data

Despite the scale of the mathematical modeling and deep analysis of various civilization development trajectories, serious discussions have arisen in the scientific community regarding the methodology of the work. The main controversial point remains that the created model is entirely based on human organizational structures and Earth's socio-historical experience, which may distort the real picture of extraterrestrial evolution. In addition, the presented scientific work is currently a preprint and has not yet undergone the procedure of full independent peer review in authoritative academic journals.

### Critical Survival Factors and Earthly Lessons

The results of computer modeling showed that in the vast majority of cases (7 out of 10 scenarios), civilizations inevitably face a phase of systemic collapse. The authors call the rate of natural resource consumption and the volume of infrastructure that can be preserved or restored after a global disaster the key factors of long-term sustainability. The findings have direct practical significance for Earth: they emphasize the critical importance of moderate consumption, preservation of critical infrastructure, and the creation of large-scale backup facilities, such as the Svalbard Global Seed Vault.

## 🔍 Fact-Check Verification

- [Они не прячутся от Земли: ученые объяснили, почему инопланетяне не выходят на связь](https://www.rbc.ua/ukr/news/voni-hovayutsya-vid-zemli-vcheni-poyasnili-1789988769.html) - Информация основана на препринте исследования на arXiv под руководством Селии Бланко без прохождения полноценного рецензирования.

## ❓ FAQ

### Q: Why haven't aliens made contact with Earth yet?
**A:** Scientists suggest that technological civilizations spend only a small fraction of their time in an active phase, alternating it with periods of collapse and technological hibernation.

### Q: Who led the research?
**A:** The research team that published the paper on the arXiv server was led by Celia Blanco.

### Q: What future scenarios were considered in the model?
**A:** Scientists simulated ten scenarios 1,000 years into the future, including a stable Golden Age, the 'Out of Eden' society, and the cyclic 'Ouroboros'.