The Central Election Commission (CEC) of Armenia has released the first official data on the results of the parliamentary elections. After counting 94% of the ballots, it became known that Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's party, "Civil Contract," continues to lead with 51.8% of the vote. However, this result does not yet allow it to form a government independently, as a minimum of 54% is required.
Preliminary results and reaction from the sides
According to the CEC, after processing votes at 506 polling stations, the "Strong Armenia" bloc led by Karapetyan is narrowing the gap with the leader. Meanwhile, Pashinyan himself has already declared victory for his party and confirmed that "Civil Contract" will be able to form a government independently, despite the current figures.
Exit polls versus official data
Preliminary exit polls had forecasted significantly higher figures for Pashinyan — up to 70%. The official CEC data turned out to be more modest, which may indicate a need to revise expectations on both the part of the authorities and the opposition.
Political context and international relations
In 2025, Pashinyan legislatively cemented the course towards rapprochement with the European Union, putting Armenia on a path of confrontation with Moscow. The opposition united around the idea of maintaining close ties with Russia. Before the elections, the RF imposed restrictions on the import of Armenian alcohol, agricultural products, and flowers, which became an additional factor of pressure on the political situation in the country.
The electoral code guarantees a stable parliamentary majority provided that 54% of the votes are secured. As Pashinyan's party has not yet reached this threshold, it leaves room for possible coalitions or re-elections.