Russia's war economy is facing a new serious challenge. Immediately following the fuel crisis, statistical data recorded a significant decline in the production of ammonium nitrate — a key component for the country's military-industrial complex. This is reported by RBC-Ukraine, citing data from the Disinformation Counteraction Center.
Statistics on the Decline in Production
Ammonium nitrate is a dual-use product, in demand both in the agricultural sector and for the needs of the defense industry. According to official Rosstat data, its production volumes in Russia have decreased by 9% over the last year. The situation worsened in May: the decline amounted to 14% year-on-year, marking the most negative indicator since the beginning of the year.
The Disinformation Counteraction Center links this decline to a series of Ukrainian long-range strikes on Russian industrial facilities. Meanwhile, official Russian representatives attribute the reduction in volumes to "unscheduled repairs" at enterprises.
Targets of Strikes and Their Consequences
One of the significant facilities subjected to attacks was the "Azot" chemical plant in the Tula region. This is one of the largest enterprises producing chemical products used by Russia's defense sector.
Experts from the Disinformation Counteraction Center emphasize: "The decline in production in Russia's chemical industry is further evidence of the effectiveness of Ukrainian long-range strikes. Although Russian propagandists try to pretend that Ukrainian UAVs do not cause significant damage, even official statistics indicate the exact opposite".
Assessment by International Experts
The impact of strikes on the Russian economy is also acknowledged by Western analysts. The publication The Economist notes that attacks deep inside Russian territory have a stronger impact on military production than previously assumed.
According to the magazine's calculations, in 2025 alone, Ukraine carried out 658 strikes on targets located more than 100 km from the border. As a result, production at Russian oil refineries fell by 15% year-on-year in the spring.
