Ukrainian motorists should prepare for a significant increase in fuel prices at gas stations at the end of summer. Experts warn that under a negative scenario, the cost of diesel fuel could reach 90–95 hryvnias per liter. This was stated by fuel expert and founder of the Prime group of companies, Dmitry Leushkin, on the air of the program Ranok.LIVE.
Geopolitics as the main trigger
According to the specialist's forecasts, the main cause of instability in the fuel market will be geopolitical factors. Ukrainian gas station networks are entirely dependent on imports, so any fluctuations in the global market are immediately reflected in domestic prices. The situation changes daily against the backdrop of new energy risks.
The escalation of the conflict between Iran and Israel has already forced major wholesalers to revise their price lists. If last week the cost of oil fell to $92.2 per barrel, now the price has sharply gone up. Despite this, the downward price trend may persist, although the rate of decline will slow down significantly.
Autumn fuel shock
In the opinion of experts, the temporary lull at gas stations will end with the onset of the autumn season. The peak of price growth is forecast for August and September. Avoiding the crisis will be impossible due to global logistics problems affecting supply chains.
Dmitry Leushkin warned that the key factor will be the situation in the Strait of Hormuz. If the issue of shipping safety there is not resolved, the market will return to the high prices already observed earlier.
"Under a hard scenario — up to 90–95 UAH per liter of diesel," the expert emphasized, drawing attention to the risks for drivers.