Modern security architecture in Europe requires a fundamental rethinking. Combat experience in Ukraine demonstrates that the key factor for survival and victory is not the quantity of weapons, but the effectiveness of intelligence systems. This was stated by former Deputy Head of the Main Directorate of Intelligence (GUR), Major General Ilya Pavlenko, in his column for KyivPost.

According to the expert, in the realities of the modern battlefield, intelligence has ceased to be a supporting function. It has become a central element without which the use of precision weapons, the operation of air defense systems, or the destruction of the enemy's logistical chains is impossible. Defense deprived of quality intelligence data turns into a belated reaction to events that have already occurred.

Six fundamental lessons for Europe

Ilya Pavlenko identified six key conclusions that should form the basis of a new European security strategy:

  • Intelligence-strike loop. Sensors, analytics, and strike assets must function as a single organism. The advantage goes to the side that has maximally shortened the path from target detection to strike delivery.
  • War of adaptations. The enemy is constantly learning and changing tactics. The traditional European practice of defense procurement, which stretches over years, is a critical vulnerability. Security must become a system of constant updating.
  • Combat innovations. The main advantage becomes the speed of translating technologies from idea to combat application. A bright example of the effectiveness of such solutions is medium-range strikes on enemy infrastructure.
  • Countering influence operations. Russia is trying to undermine the political will of European countries. Moreover, Moscow is actively recruiting citizens of Global South countries, creating a direct threat to the EU through migration networks.
  • Ukraine as a security donor. Ukraine's combat experience is a practical necessity for Europe. The country's integration into the Euro-Atlantic system should not be viewed as a distant political gesture, but as an urgent need.
  • Active deterrence. Effective deterrence of the Russian Federation requires joint efforts: a strong army, unified weapons production, and the ability to strike at the enemy's war machine, logistics, and finances.

General Pavlenko summarizes that Europe indeed needs a new arsenal, but this concept goes far beyond physical weapon samples. The new arsenal is intelligence, technology, industry, resilience, political will, and the ability to act together. Ukraine is already part of this mechanism. The question is only how quickly Europe can turn the accumulated experience into a common security system capable not just of reacting to aggression, but of anticipating it.