Preliminary agreements have been reached in Washington and Tehran aimed at ending hostilities and ensuring shipping security in the region. However, despite this diplomatic breakthrough, the majority of US citizens remain skeptical. According to a YouGov poll, 52% of American adults believe that the new agreement will either fail to change the situation or even worsen the country's position.
American voters have adopted a wait-and-see approach. Many respondents are convinced that under this deal, Iran will gain more advantages than the US. Trust in the durability of the agreements remains low, especially among independent voters—a key demographic that will determine the outcome of the 2026 midterm elections. Currently, only a quarter of them believe the situation will improve thanks to these steps.
Economic Impact and the Election Campaign
The paradox of the situation is that the resumption of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has already yielded tangible economic results. Global oil prices have dropped, leading to lower gasoline costs in the US. President Donald Trump's administration is actively using this argument, hoping that if the trend continues, citizens will feel the benefit in their own pockets.
With just over four months left until the election and the agreement set to expire in mid-August, a unique situation has arisen: diplomacy has become a factor in the final stretch of the direct election campaign. The success or failure of the deal will directly influence voter sentiment.
Political Reaction and Shift in Rhetoric
The reaction in Congress to the initiative has been mixed. A prime example is the stance of Republican Senator John Kennedy from Louisiana. Initially, he harshly criticized the idea of the agreement, but after a detailed review of the memorandum of understanding, he shifted to a more moderate rhetoric.
"I think we should give the world a chance," Kennedy stated on the Senate floor. He emphasized that the document is temporary and everything depends on whether Tehran will abide by the rules. The senator warned that any violation could return the conflict to a hot phase within just two months.
Negotiations in Switzerland and Contradictory Data
Negotiations regarding Iran's nuclear program and sanctions are scheduled to take place in Switzerland in the near future. The timeframe for resolving these issues is limited to 60 days. The US delegation may be led by the President's Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner.
However, amidst these diplomatic efforts, new contradictions are emerging. Iran has announced the re-closure of the Strait of Hormuz, threatening shipping security. Meanwhile, US Vice President JD Vance categorically denies that the strait is closed. These discrepancies in assessing the situation only heighten the tension and uncertainty facing Americans.