The situation in the Middle East has reached a critical point. The US administration has issued a stern demand to Tehran to immediately cease military operations. According to a statement by President Donald Trump, the deadline for a response expires at the end of the current day.
Conditions of the ultimatum
Washington has clearly outlined the conditions necessary for de-escalating the conflict. Iran must publicly confirm that the Strait of Hormuz is open for shipping for all countries. Additionally, the regime is required to officially promise to immediately cease attacks on commercial vessels. The message containing these demands was officially delivered to Tehran—both through direct diplomatic channels and via regional intermediaries.
Violation of the memorandum
The cause of such decisive action has been recent naval skirmishes. According to Washington, Iran's actions constitute a direct violation of the memorandum of understanding signed by the parties just three weeks ago. Experts note that the fragile security agreement is on the verge of collapse. Earlier, Trump had announced a temporary ceasefire, however, Iranian attacks continued.
Yesterday, the US announced strikes on 90 military targets within Iranian territory. Satellite imagery also records alarming activity: even after the signing of the framework agreement, work resumed on nuclear facilities in Tehran. Machinery and the construction of new engineering structures have been observed there.
Diplomatic maneuver in Muscat
The key event of the day is the meeting of Iranian and Omani diplomats in Muscat. Oman holds a special position in the region: the country created its own shipping channel off its coast, which significantly impacted Tehran's influence. It is here that the parties will attempt to discuss the current crisis.
US intelligence is detecting internal strife within the Iranian state apparatus. There is no unity in Tehran: various groups are debating whether to comply with the memorandum's conditions. Washington expects an official declaration immediately following the summit in Oman. If guarantees of free transit do not follow, the US promises to respond with severe measures.
Personal risks for the President
Donald Trump himself admitted that he has long been on Iran's hit list. He even left instructions in case Tehran manages to carry out their plan. Despite the fact that Iran and the US, after prolonged hostilities, managed to sign a framework agreement paving the way for a final treaty to end the war within 60 days, trust between the parties has been undermined by new outbreaks of violence.
