The Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Center (UkrHMC) has released a weather forecast for the coming days: on Thursday, November 12, the country will be covered by cloudy, damp, and autumnally cool weather, but already on Friday, November 13, forecasters promise a sharp jump in temperature, which in some places could reach +20°C. This is reported by RBC-Ukraine with reference to data from the state center. Below are the key parameters of the forecast for Thursday and Friday by region.
Synoptic Situation on Thursday, November 12
According to the UkrHMC, the weather in Ukraine on Thursday will be determined by a low-pressure field with atmospheric fronts. These, according to forecasters, will cause overcast skies and rains of varying intensity in most regions. Pressure will decrease throughout the day. Overall, the day will pass without sharp drops, but with sustained damp weather characteristic of late autumn.
Precipitation and Fog: Where to Expect Main Surprises
At night and in the morning, fog is forecast in some areas of Crimea, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia regions. During the day, moderate rains are expected in most regions, except for the northwest and northeast of the country. The most intense precipitation is likely in the southern part: in Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, and Donetsk regions, there will be significant rain in places. For Transcarpathia and the Precarpathian region, the center highlights specific forecast features for the coming days.
Wind and Temperature Background
On Thursday, the wind will be predominantly southern or southeastern with a speed of 5–10 m/s. Since it will carry warm, moist air from the south, the temperature background will be mild: almost no "freezing" at night, moderately warm during the day, and warmest in the south. At the same time, the UkrHMC issued a warning: at night in the eastern regions, wind gusts of up to 15–20 m/s are expected, which requires caution on roads and in open spaces.
Friday, November 13: A Sharp Jump in Heat
On Friday, moderate rains will persist in most regions, however, the temperature background will rise significantly. In the southern part of the country and locally in the central regions, the air could warm up to +15…+20°C. This will be the warmest period within the current forecast window, and it is this that forecasters point to as a "sharp jump" after the cool Thursday.
Forecast for Kyiv and the Kyiv Region
Over the territory of Kyiv and the Kyiv region, cloudy weather is also expected on November 12. On November 13, the same sharp "jump in heat" is likely in the capital: during the day, the air temperature could rise on average to about +11°C, while the night will remain at about +4°C with a further downward trend. Thus, the capital's forecast generally coincides with the national scenario: a damp, cool Thursday and a noticeably warmer Friday.
Separately, the UkrHMC reminds that November weather is closely linked to air quality in cities: atmospheric fronts and wind direction affect how pollution is "trapped" or dispersed. Previously, the center also published assessments of what winter in Ukraine might be like, with comments from specialists of the Department of Applied Meteorology and Climatology of the Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Institute.
