Behind closed doors in the corridors of the Verkhovna Rada, scenarios are being discussed that could radically alter the course of history. During a meeting with the 'Servant of the People' faction, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy voiced a shocking yet hopeful hypothesis: the 'hot phase' of the full-scale invasion could be concluded before the onset of winter.
Strategic Window of Opportunity
According to information revealed by People's Deputy Olga Vasilevskaya-Smaglyuk, the conversation with the head of state was extremely candid. Zelenskyy pointed to the current moment as critically important. A situation has developed on the front that can be characterized as an advantage, and it is precisely now that this resource must be utilized.
The key factor capable of halting active hostilities by November will be security guarantees. However, the Ukrainian leadership is acutely aware of the risks. The main task is not merely to freeze the conflict but to exclude a scenario where Russia attempts to deceive Ukraine, using the pause to regroup and subsequently resume the offensive.
Diplomatic Front: Who Will Speak for Peace?
Parallel to the military operations, a diplomatic game is gaining momentum. Ukraine is eagerly awaiting the determination of Europe's position: who exactly will become the key representative of the EU at future peace negotiations? The tone and outcome of the dialogue depend on this choice.
Furthermore, a delegation from the USA is expected to arrive in the near future. This event will serve as a litmus test for understanding the depth of Western support and the readiness to make tough decisions.
Europe and the Question of Justice
The topic of joining the European Union remains one of the central issues. The President emphasized that Ukrainian parliamentarians have fulfilled all necessary requirements to open negotiation clusters, and this process should be launched before summer.
It is important to note Kyiv's principled position: 'associated membership' without voting rights and without real trade and economic prospects is not considered an acceptable option. For Ukrainians, this is not a matter of formalities, but a question of justice and the country's future.
Balance of Power and Forecasts
Zelenskyy's evening address confirmed that the front has stabilized. This success was made possible thanks to the courage of the defenders, the use of drones, technological innovations, and strikes against the enemy's oil infrastructure. Estonian intelligence also confirms that time is beginning to work against the aggressor.
However, the opponent has no intention of surrendering. According to the Financial Times, the Russian command has promised Putin to capture the entire Donbas by autumn, which indicates Moscow's intention to accelerate events despite current difficulties.