The Attrition Trap: US and Iran Stuck in a Cyclic War Without a Victory Scenario
🇺🇸🇮🇷 US-Iran War at a Deadlock: Bloomberg Calls the Conflict an "Attrition Trap".
📉 Oil Collapse: Transit through Hormuz dropped from 21.6 million to 4.9 million barrels per day. Brent price — $88.
💥 Chronology of Failure:
— June 2025: Operation "Midnight Hammer" (420k lbs of bombs). Trump promised victory.
— February 2026: Resumption of war ("Epic Fury").
— August 2026: 18 US military dead, 680 wounded.
🚫 Diplomacy is Dead: Trump's ultimatum on reparations rejected. Iran under Mojtaba Khamenei shifted to an "offensive doctrine".
🌍 Forecast: Protracted low-intensity war to last until 2027.
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