The Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Center (UkrHMC) has published a brief climate profile of November — the final month of autumn — and a preliminary outlook for November 2026. This was reported by RBC-Ukraine, citing a publication by the UkrHMC press service. In the material, forecasters remind readers of the «traditional» indicators of the month — average and absolute temperatures, precipitation amounts — and provide the first guidelines on what November 2026 might look like in terms of temperature and moisture.
November as a Transitional Month: How the Beginning of Winter Is Counted
Forecasters emphasize that November is a transitional month from autumn to winter. It is during this period that the seasonal regime changes, and meteorologists rely on a clear criterion: the pre-winter season begins after a steady transition of the average daily air temperature across the +5 °C mark downward. Until this transition becomes steady, the month formally remains autumnal, even if individual nights already bring the first frosts.
Absolute Minimums: From 16 to 31 Degrees Below Zero
According to UkrHMC data, the absolute minimum air temperature in November across the country averages between 16.0 and 24.8 degrees below zero. At the same time, even lower values have been recorded in certain years — from 25.2 to 31.0 degrees below zero. The climate is milder in the south of the country: in Crimea and Odesa Oblast, November absolute minimums locally range from 8.4 to 13.7 degrees below zero. Thus, the geography of the month's frost records varies noticeably — from the northern and eastern regions to seaside territories.
Precipitation and Temperature Records of the Month
In the brief climate profile by UkrHMC published by RBC-Ukraine, the average monthly precipitation for November and the absolute maximum air temperature during the final month of autumn are also presented. These values are given in the publication's accompanying data and infographics, reflecting the long-term statistics of the month: November traditionally remains within the typical autumn range, as daytime temperatures gradually decrease and the proportion of precipitation and fogs increases as winter approaches.
Preliminary Forecast for November 2026
In conclusion, forecasters shared a preliminary (tentative) forecast for November 2026. The average monthly air temperature is expected to be around +1…+7 °C, which is close to the climatic norm for this month. Precipitation is expected to be within 80–120% of the norm, as summarized by the UkrHMC press service. Importantly, these figures are tentative and will be refined as the month approaches.
Context: From October Warmth to November
The transition to November takes place against the backdrop of abnormally warm weather at the end of winter — excuse me, the end of October — which forecasters attributed to the influence of an anticyclone and a high-pressure area: in the final days of October, mostly dry and warm conditions are expected in many regions of the country. It is against this warm «October» backdrop that the countdown to November cooling begins, and a steady drop in the average daily temperature below +5 °C will become the main signal that Ukraine has entered the pre-winter season.
