Russia's plans to increase missile strikes
Robert "Madjar" Brovdi, Commander of Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces, warned of a serious change in the tactics of the Russian armed forces. According to him, Russia plans to almost triple the number of ballistic missiles that could be used during a single mass air attack on Ukraine. At present, Russian occupiers are capable of launching a salvo of 77 ballistic missiles simultaneously, but their plans involve increasing this number to 200 units.
This step indicates Russia's desire to increase pressure on Ukrainian infrastructure and the civilian population by using the tactic of mass missile attacks. Increasing the number of missiles in a single salvo creates additional difficulties for Ukraine's air defense systems, which are already experiencing a shortage of interceptors.
Problems with air defense systems and interceptor shortages
One of the key problems facing Ukraine is the lack of interceptors for American Patriot systems — the only complex in the Ukrainian arsenal capable of effectively shooting down ballistic missiles. As "Madjar" noted, even if Russia reaches half of the planned number of missiles, it will mean that dozens of missiles will reach their targets, causing significant damage.
The situation is exacerbated by the fact that producing new interceptors takes time, while Russia continues to increase the pace of production of its own missiles. This creates an imbalance in the capabilities of the parties and increases risks for Ukraine's security.
Counter-strategy: strikes on production facilities
In the opinion of the Commander of the Unmanned Systems Forces, the only way to reduce the number of ballistic missiles that Russia can use in attacks is to strike facilities involved in their production. This highlights the importance of Ukraine's long-range strikes deep into Russian territory, aimed at destroying the enemy's supply chains and production capacities.
Such a strategy requires precise intelligence and coordination between various branches of the armed forces. The success of such operations could significantly reduce Russia's ability to conduct mass missile attacks and weaken its military pressure on Ukraine.
Contradictory data
While "Madjar" points to Russia's plans to increase the number of missiles to 200 units, other sources provide somewhat different data. For example, a UNIAN commentator notes that Russia could launch up to 1400 missiles before Ukraine manufactures its first Patriot interceptor. This creates a discrepancy in assessments of the scale of the threat and requires additional verification of data.
In addition, intelligence reports that Russia is producing a large number of missiles for the "Iskander" system on a monthly basis, which could also affect the overall picture of the missile threat. These contradictions highlight the need for careful analysis of information and consideration of various points of view when assessing the situation.
Context and additional factors
Previously, the Main Directorate of Intelligence of Ukraine explained why Russia significantly intensified missile strikes on Ukraine. This is related to Moscow's attempt to compensate for losses on the front and demoralize the Ukrainian population. In addition, it became known how many attack drones the enemy plans to produce in August, which also indicates an increase in Russia's military activity.
Interestingly, Russia unexpectedly suspended the production of "Kinzhal" missiles, which may indicate a redistribution of resources or a change in strategic priorities. These factors must be taken into account when analyzing the current situation and forecasting the enemy's further actions.
