--- title: "Rubio: Ukraine Will Receive Only Those Security Guarantees That Russia Agrees To" description: "US Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated that Ukraine must feel secure after the war, but guarantees will only be those that Russia agrees to. The final plan has not been agreed upon." date: 2026-11-09T22:11:13.665Z lang: en url: https://xab.info/en/posts/rubio-ukraine-security-guarantees-russia tags: [marco-rubio, ukraine-security-guarantees, nato-article-5, us-russia-talks, trump-administration] author: "Alexander Buran" publisher: "XAB.info" --- # Rubio: Ukraine Will Receive Only Those Security Guarantees That Russia Agrees To ![US Secretary of State Marco Rubio making a statement on Ukraine security guarantees.](https://xab.info/media/2026/11/09/rubio-garantii-bezopasnosti-ukrainy/rubio-garantii-bezopasnosti-ukrainy-1.webp) ## Key Points - Rubio stated that Ukraine must feel secure after the war, but guarantees will only be those that Russia agrees to. - The final guarantee plan is not agreed upon; various concepts are being discussed, including NATO Articles 4 and 5 analogs. - Rubio admitted the possibility of enshrining guarantees in a treaty ("potentially, yes"), but noted the difficulty of ratification. - Context: On October 20 in Oslo, Zelenskyy reported on "reliable" US guarantees; the Kremlin emphasizes the principle of indivisibility of security. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated during a conversation with journalists that after the end of hostilities, Ukraine must feel secure, but in practice, the country will receive only those guarantees that Russia agrees to. According to him, without Moscow's consent, no security mechanism will work. This is reported by RBC-Ukraine citing DRM News broadcasting. ### Question on NATO-Style Guarantees Speaking to the press, Rubio answered a journalist's question about whether Washington is considering providing Ukraine with security guarantees analogous to Articles 4 and 5 of the North Atlantic Alliance. As the interlocutor noted, US President Donald Trump and other representatives of the American government have repeatedly spoken about the proposals they intend to take to the negotiations in Abu Dhabi, including the topic of guarantees or a security system in Europe. ### "No Final Plan Yet" "All of this is being discussed. I don't think we have settled on a final specific plan yet and determined exactly what it will look like. Various concepts of what post-conflict security guarantees might look like have been discussed," the Secretary of State replied. He emphasized that the topic continues to make headlines precisely because it will be crucial for the ultimate end of the war. ### Condition: Russia's Consent Rubio focused attention on the fact that any guarantees must be acceptable to Moscow. "There must be an understanding that Ukraine will need to feel secure after the war. And obviously, this must be something that Russia also agrees to so that such guarantees can work. Security guarantees will be crucial for Ukraine to be able to agree to something. But at the same time, it must be acceptable to Russia as well," he stated. ### Possibility of Enshrining in a Treaty To a clarifying question about whether the US could enshrine such guarantees in a treaty, Rubio replied: "Potentially, yes." At the same time, he admitted that he does not know if this issue has been discussed in such detail, and added that achieving ratification of treaties under current conditions is "not so simple." ### Broader Context: Oslo, Witkoff, and the Kremlin's Stance Rubio's statements came against the backdrop of ongoing diplomatic contacts surrounding the settlement. Earlier on October 20, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy reported that during negotiations in Oslo with Trump's special envoy Steve Witkoff, the American side "discussed security guarantees in detail" and re-emphasized that they will be "reliable." According to Zelenskyy, the document being passed to the Russian side outlines various options, including NATO and Article 5 of the Alliance. Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre, in turn, announced Witkoff's upcoming trip to Russia. In the Kremlin, as reported, the principle of indivisibility of security is called one of the key provisions of Moscow's position. ### What This Means Washington's position, formulated by Rubio, effectively makes Moscow's consent a mandatory condition for any guarantee scheme. This means that even if Kyiv and Washington agree on a specific model (including a NATO Article 5-style model), its final form will depend on Russia's stance. For Kyiv, this increases risks: the wording "reliable guarantees" from Oslo and the caveat "only what Russia will accept" from Rubio's words indicate that the final security contour has not yet been fixed in any document. ## Fact-Check & Sources - [Украина получит только те гарантии безопасности, на которые согласится Россия, - Рубио](https://www.rbc.ua/ukr/news/ukrayina-otrimae-lishe-garantiyi-bezpeki-1794261373.html) - Primary source: direct quotes from Rubio about guarantees, Russia's consent, the lack of a final plan, and the possibility of a treaty. - [«Должна согласиться Россия»: Рубио высказался о гарантиях безопасности для Украины](https://news.mail.ru/society/73033688/) - Confirms Rubio's quote, mentions the option analogous to NATO Article 5 and the principle of indivisibility of security according to Peskov. - [Зеленский рассказал об обсуждении гарантий безопасности с США](https://www.eurointegration.com.ua/rus/news/2026/10/20/7248191/) - Context: negotiations in Oslo on Oct 20 with Witkoff, "reliable" guarantees, document with options, Witkoff's trip to the RF. ## FAQ ### What security guarantees are being discussed for Ukraine? According to Rubio, various concepts are being discussed, including analogs of NATO Articles 4 and 5; a final specific plan has not yet been agreed upon. ### Under what condition will the guarantees work? Rubio stated that these must be guarantees that Russia agrees to, otherwise the mechanism will not work. ### Can the US enshrine the guarantees in a treaty? Rubio answered "potentially, yes," but noted that the issue has not been discussed in such detail and treaty ratification is currently difficult.