Poland Shifts to Maximum Readiness Mode

Warsaw has officially acknowledged that it is in the phase of preparing for a full-scale war with the Russian Federation. This was stated by Cezary Tomczak, Deputy Minister of National Defence of Poland, emphasizing that Polish authorities and military structures are already developing action scenarios in case the "worst-case scenario" materializes. As reported by RBC-Ukraine citing Polsat News, the key phrase describing Warsaw's current strategy is: "We are preparing for war, hoping it never starts".

Tomczak noted that the Polish leadership no longer divides scenarios into "realistic" and "unrealistic." Instead, a new probability grading of events is used, where even previously unlikely threats are now considered quite possible. This indicates a fundamental shift in approaches to national security in Poland, where the principle of preventive readiness for any development of events dominates.

Threat of a Large-Scale Provocation in the Coming Months

Tomczak paid special attention in his statement to the risks that may arise in the near future. The official warned that a new large-scale provocation from Moscow could occur within a few months. Although specific details of the Kremlin's planned actions were not disclosed, the fact of the warning itself indicates that Polish intelligence has data on the preparation of aggressive steps.

Experts note that the refusal to set deadlines for such events makes the situation even more tense. According to Tomczak, the main factor determining the dynamics of threats remains the development of the Russo-Ukrainian war. Any changes on the front could become a trigger for escalation on NATO borders.

Assessment of Forces and Alliance Potential

Despite pessimistic forecasts regarding provocations, Tomczak expressed confidence in the West's ability to counter threats. He emphasized that Russia, in his opinion, is not yet ready for a direct war with NATO. However, this does not mean that such a conflict is excluded in the long term.

"Ukraine has held back Russia — not to mention the entire potential of the Alliance," the Polish official stated, calling on allies to realize their strength. This statement can be interpreted as an attempt to mobilize the political will of NATO countries and demonstrate solidarity in conditions of growing tension.

Contradictory Data

There is a discrepancy in assessments between the official statements of Polish authorities and the position of other NATO countries. While Warsaw insists on the inevitability of preparing for war, some Western analysts believe that such rhetoric may be exaggerated to obtain additional funding and weapons. Furthermore, there is no confirmation from other allies regarding the existence of specific data on a planned provocation, which raises questions about the credibility of the information voiced by Tomczak.