#Export

The new sunflower harvest should stabilize oil prices in Ukraine, but analysts do not expect a significant price cut by the end of 2026. The key factor remains global quotes and exports.

Vladimir Omelchenko, Director of Energy Programs at the Razumkov Centre, stated that the export ban on gas led to a loss of 6 billion cubic meters of production, and called for a move to an open market model analogous to the electricity sector.

Ukrainian metallurgy is losing volume due to the August strikes on the steelworks and new EU constraints: quotas and CBAM could halve production and cost the economy more than 6% of GDP. Autumn 2026 is the window for negotiations with Brussels.

ICC Ukraine Vice President Bohdan Ivanjuk stated that Ukrainian industry is losing up to 70% of the MMC's foreign-currency earnings and is demanding that the state cut tariffs, revise CBAM and EU quotas, and provide targeted financing for large enterprises.

In the 2026 season, raspberry in Ukrainian supermarkets costs up to 599 hryvnia per kilogram, while raw material for processing reaches up to 195 hryvnia. UFVA and EastFruit experts explain this not as a harvest record, but as a berry shortage and the dominance of the export channel.

The Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine has authorized the Ministry of Economy to extend the maximum settlement deadlines for export contracts on wheat, corn, soybeans, and sunflower products by up to 180 days. The measure was adopted against the backdrop of attacks on Black Sea port infrastructure.

The blockade of the ports of Greater Odesa puts up to $2 billion of Ukraine's export revenue at risk monthly. The NBU estimates second-half 2026 losses at $2.5 billion, while the agricultural sector risks losing up to 16 million tonnes of produce over six months.

Serhiy Kudriavtsev, a representative of the ferroalloy industry, called on Ukraine to use WTO mechanisms to protect the domestic scrap metal market and to stimulate its processing within the country rather than exporting it.

GMK Center estimates Ukraine's GDP losses from CBAM at $372 million in 2026, rising to $1.754 billion by 2030; export losses could reach $7.248 billion. NAEIU is pushing for a special regime for Ukraine for the period of the war.

The strikes of August 11 and 16 halted Zaporizhstal and ArcelorMittal Kryvyi Rih — 72% of steel production in Ukraine. By the end of 2026, output could fall by 2 million tonnes.

The NBU's currency restrictions, in force since February 2022, have created a distortion: a Ukrainian resident cannot invest its own foreign-currency revenue abroad, while a company with a foreign holding does so through dividends. Experts propose introducing a controlled expansion limit.

Railway export of iron ore could shrink by 30–40% due to shelling of seaports. Ferrexpo and Yuzhny GOK have suspended mining, while metallurgical production in July fell by a third.

People's Deputy Anna Skokhokh accused the leadership of Ukraine's Shipping Administration of systematic extortion of up to 10,000 dollars for the priority servicing of vessels in ports. At the center of the scandal are the head of the Administration, Serhiy Hurskyi, and the head of the Odesa Directorate, Oleksandr Zaborovskyi.

🚛 Odesa region has lifted the curfew for transit! Trucks can now drive at night to the borders with Romania and Moldova. This decision by the head of the Regional Military Administration, Oleh Kiper, is intended to relieve logistics and accelerate exports. 🇺🇦 ⚠️ Against this backdrop, Russian occupiers struck the ports and a vessel under the flag of Togo. #Odesa #Logistics #Curfew #Export #War

🚨 Port blockade and rising UZ tariffs create a "perfect storm" for metallurgy. Ore exports dropped by 37%, production could shrink by 35%. Each day of downtime costs the economy $70 million. Yuzhny GOK and Ferrexpo have stopped. 📉🇺🇦

🚆 **Historic Deal: Moldova Gives Ukraine a 50% Discount on Rail Transit!** Prime Minister Serhiy Korytskyi confirmed the agreement with Chisinau. The new tariff is in effect from August 10 until the end of 2026. 🔹 This is a response to the blockade of sea routes by Russia. 🔹 Part of the "Corridors of Solidarity" plan. 🔹 Grain and fertilizer exports will receive a powerful boost. #Ukraine #Economy #Logistics #Moldova #Export

🚨 **Economic Ramstein: ICC Ukraine Calls for Systemic Port Protection** Volodymyr Shchelkunov stated that Ukraine needs to move from situational port protection to a systematic security policy. 🇺🇦 🔹 **Main Threat:** Russia is consciously increasing shipping risks by attacking infrastructure and crews. 🔹 **Solution:** Creating an inter-agency mechanism ("Infrastructure Ramstein") involving the Navy, Ministry of Defense, and banks. 🔹 **Finances:** Requires cancellation of the 30% UZ tariff hike and creation of lending mechanisms for exporters. Without these measures, the agricultural and metallurgical sectors risk losing competitiveness in the global market. 📉🚜 #Ukraine #Economy #Ports #ICC #Export

🍏 Growers forecast a drop in apple prices in Ukraine by 11–20% next season due to increased harvest. However, experts warn: if producers start an aggressive sale, prices may not fall. Exports to Central Asian countries will help absorb the surplus. #apples #market #forecast #Ukraine